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Description: Chinese coast – guard ship was identified to have breached Philippines exclusive economic zone which was perceived as intimidation and escalating activity by Philippines officials. China claimed the ship was conducting an exercise which was fully legal and reasonable. Tensions have escalated between the Philippines, a staunch US ally and China over the past couple of years due to the disputed and overlapping claims in the South China Sea. Impact: The South China Sea as one of the world’s most important trade routes evidently could raise to become one of the major security risks in the Indo – Pacific region. The Philippines could bank on US suppo
Description: North Korea has conducted short – range ballistic missiles tests in the Sea of Japan one day after Japanese Foreign Minister visited South Korea. The launch was labeled a response to the regional consolidation of power, as North Korea also recently strengthened its ties with Russia and sent soldiers in the war with Ukraine. The new missile was suspected to be equipped with technology only available to the US, China and Russia and could hit targets further with a more precise guidance system. Impact: The growing tensions in the Indo – Pacific could further escalate in the form of military drills and territorial waters encroachment as both South a
Description: Iraqi Prime Minister Mohammed Shia al – Sudani had announced Iraq’s plans on signing a security cooperation agreement with Great Britain. The agreement would enhance cooperation between the countries in a crucial period of time when Iraq is trying to avoid becoming a conflict zone once again. Details regarding the agreement haven’t been disclosed but indications on providing security to Iraq’s fragile economy were noted. Impact: Iraq’s sensitive economic and political situation puts the country at further risk of conflict escalation after Bashar al – Assad’s fall in Syria and Hamas and Hezbollah’s defeats in the Middle East. Insurgent groups all
Description: The US has raised restrictions on AI technology exports in an attempt to further curb China’s access to high level technology. New rules on exportation would enable wider control over exports and imports with several exclusions for allied countries to the US. Several companies such as OpenAI and Nvidia have stated that new restrictions and raised control would put the US in an advantageous position in the industrial race, it would do nothing to enhance security and economic benefits. Impact: With the US – China trade war around the corner after Donald Trump assumes office, new legislature such as this could potentially put the US at the forefron
Description: Israel and Hamas have initially agreed on elementary conditions for the establishment of a 42-day ceasefire. The implementation of the agreement was expected to commence in the last week of Joe Biden’s term as US President. The agreement would be comprised of three phases in which hostage exchanges have been determined and the withdrawal of Israeli troops from Gaza. Impact: The conclusion of presently one of the most violent conflicts would spell immense success for both US and its allies but could also disrupt Israel’s regional expansion ambitions since they had just recently entered Syrian territory. Although no concise conflict resolution is
Description: Russian and Chinese boats sailing under false flags have been detected in Europe’s and South China seas and suspected of conducting a coordinated operation in cutting off data cables. Several ships in recent months have been detained on ports in Finland, Denmark and in Taiwan which later turned out to have originated from Chinese companies and sailed of from Russian ports. NATO allies suspected this to be a coordinated sabotage attack on Europe’s data streamlines as well as isolation of Taiwan as China’s top geostrategic priority. Impact: The elevated level of hybrid threats especially if coordinated by both Russia and China indicate severe misc
Description: South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol has been detained by the police after an impeachment procedure concluded last month. The massive operation was jointly led by South Korean police forces and investigators from the Corruption Investigation Office. Yoon Suk Yeol’s hearing has been scheduled for Thursday when he faces charges of insurrection in the midst of the illegally announced martial law on 03 Dec 2024. Impact: Civil unrest and political turmoil levels have significantly risen since the announcement of martial law last Dec which caused the country to call for the President’s impeachment. A precedent in South Korean history, the impeachment
Description: Presidents Macron and Zelensky have discussed the possibility of French troops deployment within Ukraine’s borders in a peacekeeping or border protection capacities. Although the war with Russia is still back and forth and the fluid situation on the front is changing, Macron didn’t win plenty of support within its own government in context of the troop deployment but gained some support from eastern NATO members that border Russia. Impact: The idea of EU or NATO members troop deployment on Ukrainian territory although widely discussed hasn’t gained support nor narrative traction as possible involvement could cause confrontation with Russia in a
Description: According to Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Energy, the country has moved forward with plans of further uranium production, enrichment and sale activities. The country’s nuclear ambitions remained unclear as Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman Al Saud confidently noted that development of nuclear weapons is strictly dependent on Iran’s nuclear ambitions. Even though Saudi Arabia has the world’s first multi – unit operating nuclear energy plant, the country has yet to fire up their first nuclear reactor. Impact: Saudi Arabia’s nuclear ambitions although not directly reported are clearly preventive and dependent on the outcome of the Iranian n
Description: Germany’s Minister of Interior Nancy Faeser has warned about significantly raised level of Russian hybrid threats which mostly targeted Germany’s defense industry. She attributed the raised level of threats to Germany’s support to the Ukrainian cause and also stated that sabotage, espionage and disinformation campaign activities were the most notable security risks. Impact: Germany as one of the largest Ukraine supporters both militarily and politically should implement strategic and operational measures in the future to protect critical infrastructure both within government and private military companies. Russia’s capacity of waging covert acti