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Description: Russian and Chinese boats sailing under false flags have been detected in Europe’s and South China seas and suspected of conducting a coordinated operation in cutting off data cables. Several ships in recent months have been detained on ports in Finland, Denmark and in Taiwan which later turned out to have originated from Chinese companies and sailed of from Russian ports. NATO allies suspected this to be a coordinated sabotage attack on Europe’s data streamlines as well as isolation of Taiwan as China’s top geostrategic priority. Impact: The elevated level of hybrid threats especially if coordinated by both Russia and China indicate severe misc
Description: South Korean President Yoon Suk Yeol has been detained by the police after an impeachment procedure concluded last month. The massive operation was jointly led by South Korean police forces and investigators from the Corruption Investigation Office. Yoon Suk Yeol’s hearing has been scheduled for Thursday when he faces charges of insurrection in the midst of the illegally announced martial law on 03 Dec 2024. Impact: Civil unrest and political turmoil levels have significantly risen since the announcement of martial law last Dec which caused the country to call for the President’s impeachment. A precedent in South Korean history, the impeachment
Description: Presidents Macron and Zelensky have discussed the possibility of French troops deployment within Ukraine’s borders in a peacekeeping or border protection capacities. Although the war with Russia is still back and forth and the fluid situation on the front is changing, Macron didn’t win plenty of support within its own government in context of the troop deployment but gained some support from eastern NATO members that border Russia. Impact: The idea of EU or NATO members troop deployment on Ukrainian territory although widely discussed hasn’t gained support nor narrative traction as possible involvement could cause confrontation with Russia in a
Description: According to Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Energy, the country has moved forward with plans of further uranium production, enrichment and sale activities. The country’s nuclear ambitions remained unclear as Energy Minister Prince Abdulaziz bin Salman Al Saud confidently noted that development of nuclear weapons is strictly dependent on Iran’s nuclear ambitions. Even though Saudi Arabia has the world’s first multi – unit operating nuclear energy plant, the country has yet to fire up their first nuclear reactor. Impact: Saudi Arabia’s nuclear ambitions although not directly reported are clearly preventive and dependent on the outcome of the Iranian n
Description: Germany’s Minister of Interior Nancy Faeser has warned about significantly raised level of Russian hybrid threats which mostly targeted Germany’s defense industry. She attributed the raised level of threats to Germany’s support to the Ukrainian cause and also stated that sabotage, espionage and disinformation campaign activities were the most notable security risks. Impact: Germany as one of the largest Ukraine supporters both militarily and politically should implement strategic and operational measures in the future to protect critical infrastructure both within government and private military companies. Russia’s capacity of waging covert acti
Description: French sailors aboard submarines which were scheduled to patrol for Russian maritime activities leaked their positions, operational patrol time frame through the Strava fitness app. The submarines in question had reportedly 16 nuclear missiles and were docked at Brest Harbor on a military base called Ille Longue. The sailors didn’t even bother to use pseudonyms or nicknames and posted their fitness schedules which led to leaking the location of French military assets of high importance. Impact: In a period of time where the Russia – Ukraine war enters its third year, compromising information such as schedules, positioning on crucial military ass
Description: Ten EU member countries have urged on further sanctions and immediate imposition on Russian liquified natural gas (LNG). Countries from the Baltic bloc raised concerns since the main source of Russia’s war chest came from gas exports to Europe and other regions, both legally and illegally. Several measures have been considered, such as elevated levels of port inspections, seizure of crypto assets and sanctioning financial institutions. Impact: Russia’s constant adaptation towards Western sanctions has been proven to be difficult to counter. EU’s dependance on Russian natural resources is expected to continue if and whether alternative and equall
Description: Japanese Nippon Steel interest for US Steel has only intensified since the US Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States failed to reach a consensus. Previously, President Biden had deemed the transaction “a threat to national security” since US Steel was integral part of the US economy and blocked the sale. President – elect Donald Trump had also stated that he is absolutely against the sale and the company should stay under US ownership. Impact: The US and Japan have had a strong strategic alliance although a transaction of this caliber had started to interfere in both countries’ national interests. Joe Biden and Donald Trump could r
Description: Russian and Iranian Presidents Putin and Pezeshkian have been set to meet on 17 Jan 2025 in order to discuss strategic alliance cooperation agreement. Russia and Iran have strengthened cooperation since the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022 and traded militarily. Iran would expect Russia’s supply of high – tech weapons such as fighter jets and missile defense systems, while Russia would expect the continuance in supply of the Iranian Shahed drones. Impact: Both Iran and Russia are involved in regional conflicts of global repercussions with joint global interests against the US and Israel. The enhancement of cooperation and communication could
Description: Indonesia has announced the acquisition of the BrahMos Missiles from India with the goal of bolstering its defense, security and deterrence capabilities in the midst of raised Chinese influence in the Indo – Pacific. The transaction marks the second most recent counter Chinese move by regional states since the Philippines acquired the same missiles in 2022 and Vietnam being the next likely candidate. The acquisition came at the precipice of Indonesia’s inclusion in the BRICS bloc while India aimed to become the regional arms trade leader. Impact: With heightened tensions in the Indo – Pacific region and China assuming the leading geopolitical po